After all the upheaval coming into the tournament,
England have surprised everyone, probably including themselves with how well
they done thus far. Like most of the Roy Hodgson’s teams they are very
disciplined and as a result are hard to break down, Steven Gerrard is a great
example of this as he is often criticised for his Roy of the Rovers style play, but we have seen much more intelligent performances from him so far. This instilled
discipline can be seen in the group games against France and somewhat against Ukraine, specifically, the majority of shots at Joe Hart’s goal were from long range, a
testament to their solidity. That isn’t to say that England have been
outstanding, they have struggled to retain possession, often giving the ball
away sloppily, something they will need to fix as they face a strong Italian
team. The return of Wayne Rooney will obviously be a boost; he will add the
much needed craft to the team, something that Ashley Young largely failed to
provide in the opening two games. England’s bench offers some decent impact
substitutes, the pace of Walcott can trouble tired defenders, and if they need
to go direct Andy Carroll has proved himself a great target man with a stunning
header and decent all round display against Sweden.
Speaking of upheaval, Italy too have had their fair
share with another match fixing scandal breaking in the run up to the
tournament. The last time this happened before a major tournament was 2006, the year Italy went on to lift the World Cup, if that means anything at all.
Italy have been very impressive in the group games, their 3-5-2 formation against Spain
was a particular highlight, with Daniel De Rossi outstanding in the largely
defunct ‘libero’ position. The worry of that formation is perhaps the tiring of
the wing backs who both have to put in a lot of work providing width when
attacking, and also cover when out of possession, so it will be interesting to
see how they cope. Mario Balotelli could be key to Italy’s chances, having
scored a sumptuous overhead kick against Ireland his confidence should be high,
with Di Natale perhaps more useful as an impact sub, we are likely to see Super
Mario in the starting eleven once more. This game is quite hard to call, and it looks
to invert the stereotypes of these two nations, expect Italy to have most of
the ball and England to be the ones sitting back looking to counter attack when
possible. The game will be close but I feel Italy’s greater all round quality
will win out.
Predicted result: England 0-1 Italy